“If we can’t figure out how to take advantage of this, we should be ashamed.”

I’ve written about John Doggett before [pictured here with wife Patty Tang]. Senior lecturer in the department of management at McCombs, Doggett is known for his penetrating gaze, sharply defined opinions, and forthright presentation style. Here are highlights of his recent remarks to alumni about the rise of China and what it means to business people in the United States.
“We are in the eye of a strategic inflection point hurricane, and it is a category 7 hurricane,” he said on his first slide. “All hell is about to come together on top of your head. When the eye of the hurricane hits, it is going to hit you hard.”
Learning from History
Doggett started with a review of history, going back to the end of WWII, when most factories of our industrialized competitors had been destroyed. For a brief period, American manufacturing firms were the only game in town. “We started to believe that was because we were better than anyone else. We assumed that Third World Countries would always be dirt poor colonies, and would not be able to produce innovative products that could compete with our products. And the most dangerous word in the language is assume.”
One assumption was that there were a handful of countries that could never rise to our level, like China, India, and Brazil that would always be poor. Along the way, the U.S. actively told the world that our life was better than communism or socialism, and eventually they started to believe the message. Doggett classified that as a “Be careful what you wish for” scenario, because other societies decided to pursue the “American dream.” In 2001, Goldman Sachs predicted there were four countries that would be the Axis of the Future, Brazil, Russia, India and China (known today as the BRICs). All of these countries had serious economic problems, but they were all large-population countries, and they accounted for almost a quarter of global gross domestic product.






